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2024-12-13 04:55:50

Donghai securities: The domestic sales of excavators increased, and the domestic brand bamua exhibited its elegant demeanour. The donghai securities Research Report pointed out that the total sales of excavators increased. Domestically, the domestic sales of excavators in November 2024 increased by 20.5% year-on-year, and the growth continued, which was better than expected by CME. Overseas, in November 2024, excavator exports increased by 15.2% year-on-year, and the monthly sales growth rate of exports expanded. With the large-scale equipment renewal policy and real estate financial policy landing one after another, domestic demand gradually recovered and warmed up; Overseas, domestic enterprises are laying out overseas pre-sales and after-sales networks, establishing overseas local production capacity, entering an accelerated period of globalization, gradually increasing market penetration and effectively smoothing domestic and international cycles. It is suggested to pay attention to overseas leading enterprises of machinery and equipment with deep layout, high brand recognition, perfect product matrix, high cost efficiency and strong R&D strength, such as Sany Heavy Industry, Xugong Machinery and Zoomlion.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Tencent Video announced that it will adjust the rights and interests of VIP devices, and the rights and interests of old members will remain unchanged. Tencent Video released a statement on the adjustment of member rights and interests, saying that it will adjust the rights and interests of Tencent Video VIP devices from December 16, 2024. Tencent video VIP members who purchase, collect and activate after 0:00 on December 16th, 2024 can log in with 3 devices and play with 1 device at the same time within the validity period of this order member. Tencent Video said that the rights and interests of VIP old members remain unchanged: Tencent video VIP members who have subscribed for a continuous monthly/quarterly/annual subscription before December 16, 2024, if they continue to subscribe, will enjoy the rights of logging in 5 devices and playing 2 devices at the same time. Tencent video VIP members who purchase, collect and activate monthly/seasonal/annual cards before December 16th, 2024 can also enjoy the rights of logging in 5 devices and playing 2 devices at the same time within the validity period of this order member. Tencent video SVIP membership rights are not affected by this adjustment and remain unchanged.


The snow removal operation of several expressways in Gansu Province continued due to the temporary control of snowfall. It was learned from the traffic police department of Gansu Province that due to the large-scale snowfall and road icing, as of 7: 30 on the 10th, several expressways in Gansu Province were temporarily controlled. The highway maintenance department is continuously carrying out ice and snow removal operations.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,228.26.Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a warning letter to Longhui Investment: after SuperMap Software's shareholding reached 5%, it continued to buy and failed to stop trading according to regulations and fulfill the obligation of letter covering. Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a decision on taking administrative supervision measures to issue a warning letter to Beijing Longhui Investment Co., Ltd. According to the Prompt Announcement on Disclosure of Simplified Equity Change Report disclosed by SuperMap Software on December 10, 2024 and the Simplified Equity Change Report disclosed by the company, in November 2021, On November 28th, 2024, the company held 5.26% of SuperMap Software's shares in total, and became a shareholder holding more than 5% of SuperMap Software's shares. The company continued to buy shares of listed companies after the shareholding ratio reached 5%, and failed to stop trading and fulfill its information disclosure obligations as required. The above-mentioned behavior of the company violated relevant regulations. The Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau decided to take the administrative supervision measures of issuing a warning letter to the company and record it in the integrity file of the securities and futures market. The company shall abide by the laws and regulations of the capital market, earnestly fulfill the obligation of information disclosure, prevent such behaviors from happening again, and submit a written report within 15 working days from the date of receiving this decision.


Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.Hong Kong auto stocks opened higher, with Weilai Auto (09866.HK) up 6.7%, Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) up 6.2% and LI (02015.HK) up 3.4%.

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